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Project information

Forecasting model for clearing price in the real-time congestion management market and identification of functional time series models

J. Portela A. Muñoz E. Insunza-Díaz

November 2024 - January 2025

Funding entity Endesa Medios y Sistemas S.L


This project aims to identify a strategy for predicting the maximum clearing price in the real-time congestion management market, characterized as a "Pay as Bid" system. Time series prediction methods will be applied. Additionally, functional time series identification and prediction models will be used for forecasting residual demand curves in the market. This approach allows for characterizing the bidding strategy of market participants.





Layman's summary: This project aims to predict the maximum clearing price in the real-time congestion management market. Advanced time series prediction models will be applied to forecast the price and residual demand curves in the market.



Techniques employed: Advanced Time series models. Functional Data. Recurrent Neural Networks.



HADES_2024_S2